A recent posting on the Minnesota Public Radio blog suggested that Minnesota (and other states) are producing more nursing graduates than necessary. The analysis uses data from Economic Modeling Specialists, Inc. (EMSI). A written response from the National Forum of State Nursing Workforce Centers can be downloaded from Forum Response to EMSI
Center staff are not in a position to comment on Minnesota, but the data in the blog also indicated that Colorado’s annual need for new nurses (replacement for retiring nurses plus expansion for population growth) is only 1,830 and Colorado schools of nursing graduated 2,660 nurses per year, prompting the “overproduction?” question.
The flaw in the blog commentary is that national workforce projections such as this (covering all types of occupations for all regions) rely heavily on a